#Thesis Updating
3 articles on Thesis Updating — behavioral finance and market psychology from IM7 Intelligence.
You’re Still Trading Monday’s Evidence. It’s Saturday.
Bitcoin gave traders powerful evidence earlier this week. But markets keep producing new information after a thesis is formed. Evidence Has a Half-Life explains what happens when traders keep giving old evidence the same weight while newer evidence is telling them to update.
The Cost of Narrative Defense: When Holding Becomes the Bias
Bitcoin’s sharp pullback has turned yesterday’s narrative defense into a more expensive behavioral problem. When traders hold because exiting would make the loss feel real, sunk cost can replace objective reassessment.
Yesterday’s Rally Was Real — Today’s Evidence Is Different
Bitcoin’s rally had real catalysts and genuine upside strength. But as price pulls back from recent highs, traders face a different behavioral test: whether they can update a previously rewarded thesis when new evidence begins to conflict with it.