Availability Heuristic
The easier an outcome is to recall, the more likely it feels — recency and vividness distort probability.
Canonical source: Tversky & Kahneman, 1973
Articles studying this principle
Bitcoin's Strength: When Momentum Tests Process Discipline
Bitcoin is exhibiting considerable upside strength. That observable momentum can create psychological pressure for traders, especially when a strong move begins to feel like permission to loosen entry standards. The critical distinction is between acknowledging market strength and allowing that strength to dictate execution quality.
ETF Flows: Conviction, Not Price, Moves Markets
Most traders watch price. Professional capital leaves clues through ETF flows. While headlines explain yesterday's move, persistent inflows and outflows often reveal changing conviction before market psychology fully shifts. Learning to read capital—not just candles—helps traders understand the behavior driving market structure.